Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.236969 0.273765 0.315656 0.367144 0.429083 0.501647 0.593755
2025-09-14 0.176382 0.222191 0.280175 0.360059 0.469013 0.615032 0.830069
2025-09-21 0.145402 0.194698 0.262025 0.362982 0.514627 0.740928 1.118312
2025-09-28 0.123953 0.173887 0.246207 0.362178 0.550619 0.858417 1.430589
2025-10-05 0.111171 0.162337 0.240330 0.373089 0.604811 1.016708 1.867419
2025-10-12 0.100634 0.152053 0.233952 0.380838 0.654163 1.179200 2.377501
2025-10-19 0.091935 0.143135 0.227921 0.387301 0.701809 1.351611 2.985502
2025-10-26 0.085556 0.136975 0.225288 0.398907 0.761594 1.567131 3.803921
2025-11-02 0.078966 0.129497 0.219073 0.402245 0.804860 1.760079 4.672262
2025-11-09 0.072898 0.122130 0.211915 0.402188 0.840489 1.946917 5.639424
2025-11-16 0.067233 0.114801 0.203775 0.398515 0.866793 2.119353 6.678872
2025-11-23 0.061964 0.107608 0.194941 0.391744 0.883955 2.273442 7.769644
2025-11-30 0.058878 0.104307 0.193592 0.401941 0.948477 2.597618 9.849250
2025-12-07 0.054419 0.097894 0.185127 0.394301 0.964066 2.777999 11.486696
2025-12-14 0.051401 0.094016 0.181483 0.397608 1.011604 3.089220 14.145381
2025-12-21 0.048353 0.089764 0.176501 0.396720 1.046923 3.375747 17.059997
2025-12-28 0.046572 0.087933 0.176601 0.408900 1.126428 3.876865 22.145302
2026-01-04 0.044680 0.085671 0.175440 0.417555 1.197746 4.389217 28.335881
2026-01-11 0.042843 0.083348 0.173849 0.424777 1.267038 4.939687 36.151632
2026-01-18 0.041486 0.081936 0.174238 0.437752 1.361797 5.682808 48.009425
2026-01-25 0.039701 0.079406 0.171622 0.441485 1.423917 6.307431 60.756485
2026-02-01 0.037856 0.076577 0.167950 0.441422 1.471834 6.895008 75.473091
2026-02-08 0.035953 0.073460 0.163223 0.437313 1.502577 7.410606 91.627237